Venezuela,Ecuador,Bolivia,Colombia: With Evo and FARC Weakened, Washington Begins its Checkmate Against Chavez and Correa

Posted on May 25, 2008


From Machetera's blog
http://machetera.wordpress.com/2008/05/23/the-pentagon-moves-its-pawns/#more-250

* * *

With Evo and the FARC Weakened, Washington Begins its Checkmate Against
Hugo Chávez and Rafael Correa

Heinz Dieterich - Rebelión

Translation: Machetera

1. The Checkmate Scenario

Washington has reached the following conclusions:

   1. The Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) have lost their
operational capacity.
   2. It has managed to neutralize the Evo Morales government through
the creation of a parallel state in the four provinces associated with
"Camba Nation."
   3. Its successes in Colombia and Bolivia set the stage to begin the
checkmate against the governments of Hugo Chávez and Rafael Correa. This
is the reason for the growing military provocations by Uribe's troops,
the U.S. military forces in the Caribbean, and the reactivation of the
Fourth Imperial Fleet.

2. The Strategic Element in the Master Plan: The Neutralization of the FARC

Washington's strategy to destroy Latin American liberation forces has
been flexible, integrating new challenges as they presented themselves,
overcoming partial defeats and putting the hemispheric field into one
which suits it, that of military propaganda.

The point of departure for the plan was the destruction of the guerrilla
forces in Colombia. The 1995 War of Alto Cenepa between Ecuador and
Perú, allowed Washington to take the first big step in this regard; that
of moving the Ecuadoran Armed Forces (FFAA) toward the border with
Colombia, to be the anvil against which the hammer of the
Colombian/U.S./Israeli Armed Forces would destroy the FARC and the ELN.
The complement to this imperial triumph was Plan Colombia, in 1999, and
the installation in power of the "Lord of the Shadows," Álvaro Uribe, in
2002.

3. The Failed Military Coup in Venezuela is a Catalyst for Imperial
Aggression

When Hugo Chávez attained the presidency in Venezuela and showed that he
was not going to let his national project accommodate the
oligarchic-imperial interests, he became Washington's second strategic
target on Tierra Firma. The decision taken by the White House was to
remove him from power within two or three years through a coup d'etat.
When the April 2002 coup d'etat failed, the strategy of destruction was
redeveloped with a longer timeline.

The failure in Caracas made the destruction of the FARC all the more
urgent, because Colombia serves only as a platform for military
aggression - following the model of destroying the Sandinistas from
Honduras - without guerrilla columns in the rear. That's why the White
House planned to neutralize the operative capacity of the FARC between
2007-2008, to unleash a general offensive against Chávez and the
Bolivarian forces beginning in 2008-2009.

4. Evo Morales and Rafael Correa Challenged the Master Plan

When Evo Morales assumed the presidency in Bolivia in January of 2006,
and began to put in place his nationalist-regional democratic
development project along the lines of that of Hugo Chávez, he became
Washington's third strategic target. As in Venezuela, with the original
plans for a coup, Washington wants to liquidate the new Bolivian
government within two or three years and to achieve it through
separatism, the Trojan Horse of the Constituent Assembly and the
formation of the CONFILAR (Confederation for Freedom and Regional Autonomy).

The imperialist action plan repeats itself with the arrival in power of
Rafael Correa, in January 2007. Imperialism's spearhead is the Guayaquil
oligarchy, where CONFILAR was founded (2006), and the discontent of the
indigenous movement organized through CONAIE (Confederation of
Indigenous Nationalities of Ecuador). Washington is calculating that at
the end of 2008 and the beginning of 2009, the first weakening of the
government, caused by its destabilizing policies, will be visible.

5. Software Decides the Battle for Latin America

The Pentagon's hypothesis is that the losses of operating capacity for
the FARC and Evo Morales are irreversible, a situation ripe for the
unleashing of paramilitary/military subversion from Colombia, and the
military of the Fourth U.S. Fleet, against Venezuela and Ecuador.
The validity of this assumption depends, to a large extent, on the
future of Latin America's Bolivarian project. It's possible to reason
that the FARC's structural crisis is comparable to the structural crisis
of the Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN) in El Salvador,
in 1984, which was overcome by measures taken by the Front, and that Evo
Morales may recover the strategic initiative for a popular project.

The correct analysis of the merits and fallacies of Washington's
hypothesis is vital for Latin America. One would hope that Latin
America's state and popular leaders are up to the task at this dangerous
juncture. Because the general success of Washington's master plan,
despite its partial defeats, shows the terrible price that we would have
to pay for triumphalism and underestimation of this bestial enemy.

Machetera is a member of Tlaxcala, the network of translators for
linguistic diversity. This translation may be reprinted as long as the
content remains unaltered, and the source, author, and translator are cited.