From Machetera's blog http://machetera.wordpress.com/2008/05/23/the-pentagon-moves-its-pawns/#more-250 * * * With Evo and the FARC Weakened, Washington Begins its Checkmate Against Hugo Chávez and Rafael Correa Heinz Dieterich - Rebelión Translation: Machetera 1. The Checkmate Scenario Washington has reached the following conclusions: 1. The Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) have lost their operational capacity. 2. It has managed to neutralize the Evo Morales government through the creation of a parallel state in the four provinces associated with "Camba Nation." 3. Its successes in Colombia and Bolivia set the stage to begin the checkmate against the governments of Hugo Chávez and Rafael Correa. This is the reason for the growing military provocations by Uribe's troops, the U.S. military forces in the Caribbean, and the reactivation of the Fourth Imperial Fleet. 2. The Strategic Element in the Master Plan: The Neutralization of the FARC Washington's strategy to destroy Latin American liberation forces has been flexible, integrating new challenges as they presented themselves, overcoming partial defeats and putting the hemispheric field into one which suits it, that of military propaganda. The point of departure for the plan was the destruction of the guerrilla forces in Colombia. The 1995 War of Alto Cenepa between Ecuador and Perú, allowed Washington to take the first big step in this regard; that of moving the Ecuadoran Armed Forces (FFAA) toward the border with Colombia, to be the anvil against which the hammer of the Colombian/U.S./Israeli Armed Forces would destroy the FARC and the ELN. The complement to this imperial triumph was Plan Colombia, in 1999, and the installation in power of the "Lord of the Shadows," Álvaro Uribe, in 2002. 3. The Failed Military Coup in Venezuela is a Catalyst for Imperial Aggression When Hugo Chávez attained the presidency in Venezuela and showed that he was not going to let his national project accommodate the oligarchic-imperial interests, he became Washington's second strategic target on Tierra Firma. The decision taken by the White House was to remove him from power within two or three years through a coup d'etat. When the April 2002 coup d'etat failed, the strategy of destruction was redeveloped with a longer timeline. The failure in Caracas made the destruction of the FARC all the more urgent, because Colombia serves only as a platform for military aggression - following the model of destroying the Sandinistas from Honduras - without guerrilla columns in the rear. That's why the White House planned to neutralize the operative capacity of the FARC between 2007-2008, to unleash a general offensive against Chávez and the Bolivarian forces beginning in 2008-2009. 4. Evo Morales and Rafael Correa Challenged the Master Plan When Evo Morales assumed the presidency in Bolivia in January of 2006, and began to put in place his nationalist-regional democratic development project along the lines of that of Hugo Chávez, he became Washington's third strategic target. As in Venezuela, with the original plans for a coup, Washington wants to liquidate the new Bolivian government within two or three years and to achieve it through separatism, the Trojan Horse of the Constituent Assembly and the formation of the CONFILAR (Confederation for Freedom and Regional Autonomy). The imperialist action plan repeats itself with the arrival in power of Rafael Correa, in January 2007. Imperialism's spearhead is the Guayaquil oligarchy, where CONFILAR was founded (2006), and the discontent of the indigenous movement organized through CONAIE (Confederation of Indigenous Nationalities of Ecuador). Washington is calculating that at the end of 2008 and the beginning of 2009, the first weakening of the government, caused by its destabilizing policies, will be visible. 5. Software Decides the Battle for Latin America The Pentagon's hypothesis is that the losses of operating capacity for the FARC and Evo Morales are irreversible, a situation ripe for the unleashing of paramilitary/military subversion from Colombia, and the military of the Fourth U.S. Fleet, against Venezuela and Ecuador. The validity of this assumption depends, to a large extent, on the future of Latin America's Bolivarian project. It's possible to reason that the FARC's structural crisis is comparable to the structural crisis of the Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN) in El Salvador, in 1984, which was overcome by measures taken by the Front, and that Evo Morales may recover the strategic initiative for a popular project. The correct analysis of the merits and fallacies of Washington's hypothesis is vital for Latin America. One would hope that Latin America's state and popular leaders are up to the task at this dangerous juncture. Because the general success of Washington's master plan, despite its partial defeats, shows the terrible price that we would have to pay for triumphalism and underestimation of this bestial enemy. Machetera is a member of Tlaxcala, the network of translators for linguistic diversity. This translation may be reprinted as long as the content remains unaltered, and the source, author, and translator are cited.